New Year's Resolution Success Odds Calculator
Only a small fraction of resolutions survive past February. This calculator scores your resolution setup — specificity, accountability, and past experience — to give you a realistic (and motivating) success probability, purely for fun and reflection.
About this calculator
Estimate your realistic odds of sticking with your New Year's resolution based on research-informed factors like specificity, support system, and past track record.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is this a scientific prediction?
No — this is a fun, entertainment-only estimate inspired by general behavior-change research trends (like the value of specific goals and accountability), not a clinical or statistical guarantee.
Why does trying before lower my odds?
Repeated past attempts at the exact same resolution are used here as a proxy for how sticky old habits can be — but it doesn't mean you can't succeed this time!
What can I do to raise my score?
Try making your goal more specific and measurable, and add public accountability like telling friends or tracking progress openly.