New Year's Resolution Success Odds Calculator
Only a small fraction of resolutions survive past February. Answer a few quick questions about your goal and habits to get your personalized (for-fun) success odds for this year.
About this calculator
Estimate your realistic odds of sticking to your New Year's resolution based on habit type, past track record, support system, and specificity of your goal.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is this a scientific prediction?
No — this calculator is for entertainment and motivational purposes only, loosely inspired by general habit-formation research. It isn't a guarantee or clinical assessment.
Why do past failed attempts lower my odds?
Research on habit change suggests repeated relapses can indicate an approach that needs adjusting, though each new attempt still has a real chance of success.
What's the single biggest factor in improving my odds?
Specificity and accountability tend to matter most — a vague goal like 'get healthier' is much harder to sustain than 'walk 30 minutes, 4x per week, tracked in an app.'