New Year's Resolution Success Odds Calculator
Most resolutions fail by February — but yours doesn't have to. Answer a few quick questions and get a personalized probability score based on the factors research shows actually matter.
About this calculator
Estimate your realistic odds of sticking to your New Year's resolution based on research-backed factors like specificity, support system, and past track record.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is this based on real science?
The scoring model is inspired by published behavior-change research (e.g. studies on goal specificity, accountability, and self-monitoring), simplified into a fun, illustrative point system — not a clinical prediction.
Why do past attempts lower my score?
Research suggests repeated unsuccessful attempts at the identical goal without changing approach often correlate with lower success rates, though it's not a hard rule — reframing your strategy can flip this.
How can I improve my odds?
Make your goal more specific and measurable, tell a friend or post about it publicly, and track your progress regularly — the three biggest levers in this calculator.